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HOV vs MTH: Correlation

How closely do Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. (HOV) and Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.73, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.73
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.79
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.71
long-run
Ann. covariance
1934.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HOV and MTH?

On 3 years of weekly data the HOV/MTH correlation comes out at 0.73, strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.79 lands near the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.71, and annualized covariance runs at 1934.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, MTH places #4 of the 21 assets tracked against HOV. Neither side won the trailing year by much: -9.3% against -7.0%. One caveat on sizing: HOV is 1.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HOV vs MTH: side by side

HOV (Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc.)MTH (Meritage Homes Corporation)
1-year return-9.3%-7.0%
5-year return+19.3%+34.0%
Volatility (ann.)67.9%39.0%
Beta vs S&P 5001.580.90
Max drawdown (3Y)-63.1%-43.0%
Market cap$0.7B$4.6B
P/E (trailing)123.015.0
Dividend yield0.00%2.52%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: MTH 15.0 vs 123.0Higher yield: MTH 2.52% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MTH -43.0% vs -63.1%Higher 5y return: MTH +34.0% vs +19.3%
-38%0%+6%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). HOV · MTH

Year-by-year returns

YearHOVMTH
2022-66.9%-24.5%
2023+269.8%+90.5%
2024-14.0%-10.2%
2025-27.1%-12.3%
2026+29.9%+8.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HOV and MTH good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.73 means HOV and MTH share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HOV and MTH?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.73 over 3 years, with 0.79 over the last year and 0.71 over 5 years.

Is MTH a good diversifier for HOV?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.73 means HOV and MTH share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.73 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.73 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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HOV vs MTH: 3-year weekly correlation 0.73HOV vs MTH0.73

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Hubs: HOV correlations · MTH correlations