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HOG vs SMHB: Correlation

Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) and ETRACS Monthly Pay 2x Leveraged Small Cap High Dividend ETN (SMHB) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.58.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.55
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.64
long-run
Ann. covariance
777.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HOG and SMHB?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of HOG and SMHB correlate at 0.58, moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.55) sits close to the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.64, with an annualized covariance of 777.0 %².

By 3-year correlation, SMHB places #5 of the 10 assets tracked against HOG. On 12-month performance SMHB holds a 8.8-point edge, -1.4% against +7.4%.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HOG vs SMHB: side by side

HOG (Harley-Davidson, Inc.)SMHB (ETRACS Monthly Pay 2x Leveraged Small Cap High Dividend ETN)
1-year return-1.4%+7.4%
5-year return-22.1%-13.5%
Volatility (ann.)34.2%39.3%
Beta vs S&P 5000.911.42
Max drawdown (3Y)-58.7%-45.0%
Market cap$2.9B
P/E (trailing)15.5
Dividend yield2.64%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: SMHB -45.0% vs -58.7%Higher 5y return: SMHB -13.5% vs -22.1%
-40%0%+6%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). HOG · SMHB

Year-by-year returns

YearHOGSMHB
2022+12.1%-36.0%
2023-9.8%+36.0%
2024-16.6%-15.8%
2025-30.1%-7.7%
2026+38.4%+22.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HOG and SMHB good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means HOG and SMHB share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HOG and SMHB?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.58 over 3 years, with 0.55 over the last year and 0.64 over 5 years.

Is SMHB a good diversifier for HOG?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means HOG and SMHB share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

A reading of 0.58 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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HOG vs SMHB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58HOG vs SMHB0.58

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Related comparisons

Hubs: HOG correlations · SMHB correlations