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HD vs XLY: Correlation

Home Depot (The) (HD) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.63.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.63
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.60
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.62
long-run
Ann. covariance
293.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HD and XLY?

On 3 years of weekly data the HD/XLY correlation comes out at 0.63, strong. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.60 over 1 year against 0.63 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.62, and annualized covariance runs at 293.4 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLY places #18 of the 54 assets tracked against HD. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with XLY ahead by 17.3 points (-17.4% versus -0.1%). The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.55 and 0.75 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HD vs XLY: side by side

HD (Home Depot (The))XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-17.4%-0.1%
5-year return+13.8%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)23.6%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.871.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.8%-26.0%
Market cap$327.9B
P/E (trailing)23.4
Dividend yield1.38%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: HD 1.38% vs 0.78%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -28.8%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs +13.8%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-28%0%+6%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). HD · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearHDXLY
2022-22.0%-36.3%
2023+12.8%+39.6%
2024+15.0%+26.5%
2025-9.3%+7.4%
2026-3.1%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 5.54% of XLY is HD itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are HD and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.63 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HD and XLY?

The HD/XLY correlation stands at 0.63 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.60, 5 years: 0.62), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLY a good diversifier for HD?

To a limited degree. At 0.63 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.63 mean?

A reading of 0.63 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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HD vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.63HD vs XLY0.63

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Related comparisons

Hubs: HD correlations · XLY correlations