PairBook
HomeHD › HD vs USO

HD vs USO: Correlation

Home Depot (The) (HD) and United States Oil Fund (USO) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.29.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.29
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.51
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.16
long-run
Ann. covariance
-273.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HD and USO?

On 3 years of weekly data the HD/USO correlation comes out at -0.29, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.51) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.29). The 5-year figure is -0.16, and annualized covariance runs at -273.9 %².

USO is close to the least connected end of HD's tracked universe, ranking #50 of 54. The last year tells two different stories: USO led by 91.5 percentage points, -17.4% for HD against +74.1% for USO. Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from -0.51 to 0.16. Note the risk asymmetry: USO runs 1.7 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HD vs USO: side by side

HD (Home Depot (The))USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return-17.4%+74.1%
5-year return+13.8%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)23.6%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.87-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.8%-32.5%
Market cap$327.9B
P/E (trailing)23.4
Dividend yield1.38%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: HD -28.8% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +13.8%
-28%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). HD · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearHDUSO
2022-22.0%+29.0%
2023+12.8%-4.9%
2024+15.0%+13.4%
2025-9.3%-8.5%
2026-3.1%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HD and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.29, HD and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HD and USO?

The HD/USO correlation stands at -0.29 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.51, 5 years: -0.16), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is USO a good diversifier for HD?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.29, HD and USO have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.29 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/hd-vs-uso.json

HD vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.29HD vs USO-0.29

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![HD vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/hd-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/hd-vs-uso/)

No key needed, free to use. Full endpoint list in the API documentation.

Related comparisons

Hubs: HD correlations · USO correlations