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HD vs ULTA: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Home Depot (The) (HD) and Ulta Beauty (ULTA) carry a correlation of 0.41, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.41
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.49
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.42
long-run
Ann. covariance
340.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HD and ULTA?

On 3 years of weekly data the HD/ULTA correlation comes out at 0.41, moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.49 over 1 year against 0.41 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.42, and annualized covariance runs at 340.8 %².

By 3-year correlation, ULTA places #39 of the 54 assets tracked against HD. The last year tells two different stories: ULTA led by 18.6 percentage points, -17.4% for HD against +1.2% for ULTA. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.19 to 0.52.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HD vs ULTA: side by side

HD (Home Depot (The))ULTA (Ulta Beauty)
1-year return-17.4%+1.2%
5-year return+13.8%+41.0%
Volatility (ann.)23.6%35.3%
Beta vs S&P 5000.870.75
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.8%-44.6%
Market cap$327.9B$23.2B
P/E (trailing)23.420.4
Dividend yield1.38%0.00%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer Discretionary
Lower P/E: ULTA 20.4 vs 23.4Higher yield: HD 1.38% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: HD -28.8% vs -44.6%Higher 5y return: ULTA +41.0% vs +13.8%
-28%0%+34%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. HD · ULTA

Year-by-year returns

YearHDULTA
2022-22.0%+13.8%
2023+12.8%+4.5%
2024+15.0%-11.2%
2025-9.3%+39.1%
2026-3.1%-10.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HD and ULTA good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.41 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HD and ULTA?

The HD/ULTA correlation stands at 0.41 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.49, 5 years: 0.42), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is ULTA a good diversifier for HD?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.41 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.41 mean?

A reading of 0.41 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/hd-vs-ulta.json

HD vs ULTA: 3-year weekly correlation 0.41HD vs ULTA0.41

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Related comparisons

Hubs: HD correlations · ULTA correlations