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HD vs SMID: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Home Depot (The) (HD) and Smith-Midland Corporation (SMID) carry a correlation of 0.44, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.44
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.33
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.28
long-run
Ann. covariance
627.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HD and SMID?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of HD and SMID correlate at 0.44, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.33) than the 3-year average (0.44). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.28, with an annualized covariance of 627.9 %².

Within HD's tracked universe of 54 assets, SMID comes in at #35 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months HD outperformed by 21.9 percentage points (-17.4% for HD against -39.3% for SMID). One caveat on sizing: SMID is 2.6 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HD vs SMID: side by side

HD (Home Depot (The))SMID (Smith-Midland Corporation)
1-year return-17.4%-39.3%
5-year return+13.8%+32.1%
Volatility (ann.)23.6%60.2%
Beta vs S&P 5000.871.58
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.8%-50.2%
Market cap$327.9B$0.1B
P/E (trailing)23.417.4
Dividend yield1.38%0.00%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryUS Listed
Lower P/E: SMID 17.4 vs 23.4Higher yield: HD 1.38% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: HD -28.8% vs -50.2%Higher 5y return: SMID +32.1% vs +13.8%
-40%0%+1%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). HD · SMID

Year-by-year returns

YearHDSMID
2022-22.0%-56.4%
2023+12.8%+92.7%
2024+15.0%+12.6%
2025-9.3%-18.3%
2026-3.1%-31.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HD and SMID good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.44, HD and SMID keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HD and SMID?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between HD and SMID is 0.44 over 3 years, 0.33 over 1 year and 0.28 over 5 years.

Is SMID a good diversifier for HD?

Reasonably. At 0.44, HD and SMID keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.44 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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HD vs SMID: 3-year weekly correlation 0.44HD vs SMID0.44

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Related comparisons

Hubs: HD correlations · SMID correlations