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HD vs MCD: Correlation

How closely do Home Depot (The) (HD) and McDonald's (MCD) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.43, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.43
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.45
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.39
long-run
Ann. covariance
182.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HD and MCD?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of HD and MCD correlate at 0.43, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.45 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.39, with an annualized covariance of 182.7 %².

Among the 54 assets we track against HD, MCD ranks #36 by 3-year correlation. Their 12-month results are close: -17.4% for HD against -14.5% for MCD. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.26 to 0.51.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HD vs MCD: side by side

HD (Home Depot (The))MCD (McDonald's)
1-year return-17.4%-14.5%
5-year return+13.8%+23.3%
Volatility (ann.)23.6%17.8%
Beta vs S&P 5000.870.30
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.8%-22.8%
Market cap$327.9B$184.0B
P/E (trailing)23.421.7
Dividend yield1.38%2.75%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryConsumer Discretionary
Lower P/E: MCD 21.7 vs 23.4Higher yield: MCD 2.75% vs 1.38%Smaller drawdown: MCD -22.8% vs -28.8%Higher 5y return: MCD +23.3% vs +13.8%
-28%0%+9%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. HD · MCD

Year-by-year returns

YearHDMCD
2022-22.0%+0.5%
2023+12.8%+15.1%
2024+15.0%+0.1%
2025-9.3%+7.9%
2026-3.1%-13.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HD and MCD good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.43, HD and MCD keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HD and MCD?

The HD/MCD correlation stands at 0.43 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.45, 5 years: 0.39), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is MCD a good diversifier for HD?

Reasonably. At 0.43, HD and MCD keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.43 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.43 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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HD vs MCD: 3-year weekly correlation 0.43HD vs MCD0.43

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Hubs: HD correlations · MCD correlations