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HCI vs USMV: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) and iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF (USMV) carry a correlation of 0.39, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.39
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.49
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.26
long-run
Ann. covariance
140.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are HCI and USMV?

Over the past 3 years, HCI and USMV moved with a correlation of 0.39, which is moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.49 over 1 year against 0.39 over 3. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.26, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 140.2 %².

Few assets follow HCI as closely as USMV, which ranks #3 of 10 tracked partners. On 12-month performance HCI holds a 5.1-point edge, +15.2% against +10.1%. One caveat on sizing: HCI is 3.6 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

HCI vs USMV: side by side

HCI (HCI Group, Inc.)USMV (iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF)
1-year return+15.2%+10.1%
5-year return+86.4%+42.3%
Volatility (ann.)35.9%9.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.620.51
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.3%-9.4%
Market cap$2.3B
P/E (trailing)8.1
Dividend yield0.86%1.48%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$23.6B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Style
Higher yield: USMV 1.48% vs 0.86%Smaller drawdown: USMV -9.4% vs -28.3%Higher 5y return: HCI +86.4% vs +42.3%

USMV, iShares's Large Blend fund, carries $23.6B under management, 164 holdings, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 1.48% trailing dividend yield.

-12%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). HCI · USMV

Year-by-year returns

YearHCIUSMV
2022-51.2%-9.4%
2023+126.8%+10.3%
2024+35.5%+15.7%
2025+66.3%+7.6%
2026-1.8%+9.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are HCI and USMV good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.39, HCI and USMV keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between HCI and USMV?

The HCI/USMV correlation stands at 0.39 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.49, 5 years: 0.26), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is USMV a good diversifier for HCI?

Reasonably. At 0.39, HCI and USMV keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.39 mean?

A reading of 0.39 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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HCI vs USMV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.39HCI vs USMV0.39

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Hubs: HCI correlations · USMV correlations