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GTES vs MDY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd. (GTES) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) carry a correlation of 0.71, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.71
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.69
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.71
long-run
Ann. covariance
408.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are GTES and MDY?

Over the past 3 years, GTES and MDY moved with a correlation of 0.71, which is strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.69 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.71, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 408.8 %².

MDY is one of the assets that tracks GTES most closely: it ranks #1 out of the 22 assets we track against GTES. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with MDY ahead by 16.8 points (+1.5% versus +18.3%). One caveat on sizing: GTES is 2.1 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

GTES vs MDY: side by side

GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Ltd.)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return+1.5%+18.3%
5-year return+56.6%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)35.0%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.270.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-33.8%-24.0%
Market cap$6.7B
P/E (trailing)18.8
Dividend yield0.00%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -33.8%Higher 5y return: GTES +56.6% vs +47.5%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-17%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. GTES · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearGTESMDY
2022-28.3%-13.3%
2023+17.6%+16.1%
2024+53.3%+13.6%
2025+4.4%+7.2%
2026+22.9%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are GTES and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.71 means GTES and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between GTES and MDY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.71 over 3 years, with 0.69 over the last year and 0.71 over 5 years.

Is MDY a good diversifier for GTES?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.71 means GTES and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.71 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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GTES vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.71GTES vs MDY0.71

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Hubs: GTES correlations · MDY correlations