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GRMN vs XLY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Garmin (GRMN) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of 0.48, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.48
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.48
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.50
long-run
Ann. covariance
327.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are GRMN and XLY?

Over the past 3 years, GRMN and XLY moved with a correlation of 0.48, which is moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.48 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.50, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 327.1 %².

Among the 36 assets we track against GRMN, XLY ranks #17 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: GRMN led by 25.2 percentage points, +25.1% for GRMN against -0.1% for XLY. This link changes with the market regime, having swung between 0.16 and 0.69 on a rolling one-year basis. Risk is not evenly split, since GRMN carries 1.8 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

GRMN vs XLY: side by side

GRMN (Garmin)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+25.1%-0.1%
5-year return+80.9%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)34.7%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.061.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.0%-26.0%
Market cap$55.9B
P/E (trailing)29.9
Dividend yield1.45%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: GRMN 1.45% vs 0.78%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -28.0%Higher 5y return: GRMN +80.9% vs +31.8%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-19%0%+33%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). GRMN · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearGRMNXLY
2022-30.2%-36.3%
2023+43.1%+39.6%
2024+63.3%+26.5%
2025-0.1%+7.4%
2026+44.1%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLY holds GRMN at a 1.18% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are GRMN and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.48, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between GRMN and XLY?

The GRMN/XLY correlation stands at 0.48 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.48, 5 years: 0.50), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLY a good diversifier for GRMN?

A fair diversifier. At 0.48, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.48 mean?

A reading of 0.48 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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GRMN vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.48GRMN vs XLY0.48

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Hubs: GRMN correlations · XLY correlations