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GNRC vs MDY: Correlation

How closely do Generac (GNRC) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.53, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.53
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.40
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.54
long-run
Ann. covariance
401.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are GNRC and MDY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of GNRC and MDY correlate at 0.53, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.40) than the 3-year average (0.53). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.54, with an annualized covariance of 401.5 %².

Within GNRC's tracked universe of 35 assets, MDY comes in at #11 by 3-year correlation. The trailing year gives MDY the advantage: +5.5% versus +18.3%, a 12.8-point spread. Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from 0.17 to 0.77. Risk is not evenly split, since GNRC carries 2.8 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

GNRC vs MDY: side by side

GNRC (Generac)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return+5.5%+18.3%
5-year return-55.4%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)46.1%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.350.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-47.8%-24.0%
Market cap$11.6B
P/E (trailing)47.4
Dividend yield0.00%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -47.8%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs -55.4%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-23%0%+54%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. GNRC · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearGNRCMDY
2022-71.4%-13.3%
2023+28.4%+16.1%
2024+20.0%+13.6%
2025-12.0%+7.2%
2026+44.7%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are GNRC and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.53 means GNRC and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between GNRC and MDY?

The GNRC/MDY correlation stands at 0.53 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.40, 5 years: 0.54), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is MDY a good diversifier for GNRC?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.53 means GNRC and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.53 mean?

A reading of 0.53 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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GNRC vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.53GNRC vs MDY0.53

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Hubs: GNRC correlations · MDY correlations