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FERG vs TOL: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) and Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) carry a correlation of 0.58, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.58
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.52
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.59
long-run
Ann. covariance
605.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are FERG and TOL?

Over the past 3 years, FERG and TOL moved with a correlation of 0.58, which is moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.52) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.59, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 605.8 %².

Within FERG's tracked universe of 35 assets, TOL comes in at #11 by 3-year correlation. Neither side won the trailing year by much: +1.1% against +6.0%.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

FERG vs TOL: side by side

FERG (Ferguson Enterprises)TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.)
1-year return+1.1%+6.0%
5-year return+82.2%+139.9%
Volatility (ann.)30.0%34.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.991.14
Max drawdown (3Y)-32.9%-46.0%
Market cap$45.1B$13.4B
P/E (trailing)23.011.9
Dividend yield1.80%0.69%
Sector / categoryIndustrialsUS Listed
Lower P/E: TOL 11.9 vs 23.0Higher yield: FERG 1.80% vs 0.69%Smaller drawdown: FERG -32.9% vs -46.0%Higher 5y return: TOL +139.9% vs +82.2%
-14%0%+13%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. FERG · TOL

Year-by-year returns

YearFERGTOL
2022-27.2%-30.0%
2023+55.1%+108.6%
2024-8.6%+23.4%
2025+29.9%+8.3%
2026+6.4%+7.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are FERG and TOL good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means FERG and TOL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between FERG and TOL?

The FERG/TOL correlation stands at 0.58 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.52, 5 years: 0.59), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is TOL a good diversifier for FERG?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.58 means FERG and TOL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.58 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/ferg-vs-tol.json

FERG vs TOL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.58FERG vs TOL0.58

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Related comparisons

Hubs: FERG correlations · TOL correlations