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FCX vs XLB: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) and Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB) carry a correlation of 0.68, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.68
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.72
long-run
Ann. covariance
489.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are FCX and XLB?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of FCX and XLB correlate at 0.68, strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.61 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.72, with an annualized covariance of 489.3 %².

Among the 34 assets we track against FCX, XLB ranks #6 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months FCX outperformed by 63.1 percentage points (+80.7% for FCX against +17.6% for XLB). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.58 and 0.90 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: FCX runs 2.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

FCX vs XLB: side by side

FCX (Freeport-McMoRan)XLB (Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+80.7%+17.6%
5-year return+129.3%+36.9%
Volatility (ann.)43.2%16.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.550.72
Max drawdown (3Y)-46.3%-23.2%
Market cap$112.6B
P/E (trailing)38.8
Dividend yield0.76%1.68%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$8.3B
Sector / categoryMaterialsSector ETF
Higher yield: XLB 1.68% vs 0.76%Smaller drawdown: XLB -23.2% vs -46.3%Higher 5y return: FCX +129.3% vs +36.9%

XLB is a Natural Resources fund from State Street Investment Management: $8.3B under management, 26 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.68% trailing dividend yield.

-23%0%+71%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). FCX · XLB

Year-by-year returns

YearFCXXLB
2022-7.3%-12.3%
2023+13.7%+12.5%
2024-9.4%+0.1%
2025+35.4%+9.9%
2026+55.5%+18.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLB holds FCX at a 6.48% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are FCX and XLB good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.68 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between FCX and XLB?

The FCX/XLB correlation stands at 0.68 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.61, 5 years: 0.72), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLB a good diversifier for FCX?

To a limited degree. At 0.68 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.68 mean?

A reading of 0.68 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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FCX vs XLB: 3-year weekly correlation 0.68FCX vs XLB0.68

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Related comparisons

Hubs: FCX correlations · XLB correlations