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F vs XLY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Ford Motor Company (F) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) carry a correlation of 0.45, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.45
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.37
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.56
long-run
Ann. covariance
320.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are F and XLY?

Over the past 3 years, F and XLY moved with a correlation of 0.45, which is moderate. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.37) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.56, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 320.6 %².

Among the 35 assets we track against F, XLY ranks #16 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months F outperformed by 22.7 percentage points (+22.6% for F against -0.1% for XLY). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.38 and 0.67 over the past three years, a moderate range. One caveat on sizing: F is 1.8 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

F vs XLY: side by side

F (Ford Motor Company)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+22.6%-0.1%
5-year return+45.8%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)36.1%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.061.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.5%-26.0%
Market cap$55.6B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield4.32%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: F 4.32% vs 0.78%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -36.5%Higher 5y return: F +45.8% vs +31.8%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-10%0%+54%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). F · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearFXLY
2022-42.2%-36.3%
2023+15.8%+39.6%
2024-13.1%+26.5%
2025+42.3%+7.4%
2026+10.0%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

F represents 1.36% of XLY's portfolio, so part of any move in XLY is F itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are F and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.45, F and XLY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between F and XLY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.45 over 3 years, with 0.37 over the last year and 0.56 over 5 years.

Is XLY a good diversifier for F?

Reasonably. At 0.45, F and XLY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.45 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/f-vs-xly.json

F vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.45F vs XLY0.45

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Hubs: F correlations · XLY correlations