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F vs MDY: Correlation

Ford Motor Company (F) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.48.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.48
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.44
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.59
long-run
Ann. covariance
288.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are F and MDY?

On 3 years of weekly data the F/MDY correlation comes out at 0.48, moderate. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: 0.44 over 1 year against 0.48 over 3. The 5-year figure is 0.59, and annualized covariance runs at 288.0 %².

Among the 35 assets we track against F, MDY ranks #12 by 3-year correlation. Neither side won the trailing year by much: +22.6% against +18.3%. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.38 and 0.71 over the past three years, a moderate range. Risk is not evenly split, since F carries 2.2 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

F vs MDY: side by side

F (Ford Motor Company)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return+22.6%+18.3%
5-year return+45.8%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)36.1%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.060.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-36.5%-24.0%
Market cap$55.6B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield4.32%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: F 4.32% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -36.5%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs +45.8%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+54%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. F · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearFMDY
2022-42.2%-13.3%
2023+15.8%+16.1%
2024-13.1%+13.6%
2025+42.3%+7.2%
2026+10.0%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are F and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.48, F and MDY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between F and MDY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.48 over 3 years, with 0.44 over the last year and 0.59 over 5 years.

Is MDY a good diversifier for F?

Reasonably. At 0.48, F and MDY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.48 mean?

A reading of 0.48 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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F vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.48F vs MDY0.48

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Hubs: F correlations · MDY correlations