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EXPD vs ITW: Correlation

Expeditors International (EXPD) and Illinois Tool Works (ITW) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.42.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.42
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.19
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.57
long-run
Ann. covariance
195.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are EXPD and ITW?

On 3 years of weekly data the EXPD/ITW correlation comes out at 0.42, moderate. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.19 versus 0.42 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.57, and annualized covariance runs at 195.6 %².

Within EXPD's tracked universe of 33 assets, ITW comes in at #17 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: EXPD led by 49.3 percentage points, +57.5% for EXPD against +8.2% for ITW. The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between 0.19 and 0.77 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

EXPD vs ITW: side by side

EXPD (Expeditors International)ITW (Illinois Tool Works)
1-year return+57.5%+8.2%
5-year return+60.9%+36.1%
Volatility (ann.)24.2%19.0%
Beta vs S&P 5000.650.64
Max drawdown (3Y)-21.3%-20.6%
Market cap$24.8B$80.2B
P/E (trailing)27.725.8
Dividend yield0.83%2.26%
Sector / categoryIndustrialsIndustrials
Lower P/E: ITW 25.8 vs 27.7Higher yield: ITW 2.26% vs 0.83%Smaller drawdown: ITW -20.6% vs -21.3%Higher 5y return: EXPD +60.9% vs +36.1%
-8%0%+59%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. EXPD · ITW

Year-by-year returns

YearEXPDITW
2022-21.7%-8.5%
2023+23.9%+21.6%
2024-11.9%-1.0%
2025+36.2%-0.4%
2026+28.7%+15.8%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are EXPD and ITW good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.42, EXPD and ITW keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between EXPD and ITW?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.42 over 3 years, with 0.19 over the last year and 0.57 over 5 years.

Is ITW a good diversifier for EXPD?

Reasonably. At 0.42, EXPD and ITW keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.42 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.42 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/expd-vs-itw.json

EXPD vs ITW: 3-year weekly correlation 0.42EXPD vs ITW0.42

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Related comparisons

Hubs: EXPD correlations · ITW correlations