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EWJ vs USO: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ) and United States Oil Fund (USO) carry a correlation of -0.25, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.25
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.53
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.09
long-run
Ann. covariance
-197.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are EWJ and USO?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of EWJ and USO correlate at -0.25, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The past 12 months show a weaker link (-0.53) than the 3-year average (-0.25). Stretching to 5 years gives -0.09, with an annualized covariance of -197.0 %².

Out of 70 assets tracked against EWJ, USO lands near the bottom at #67. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months USO outperformed by 47.0 percentage points (+27.1% for EWJ against +74.1% for USO). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.56 and 0.35 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment. Note the risk asymmetry: USO runs 2.0 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

EWJ vs USO: side by side

EWJ (iShares MSCI Japan ETF)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+27.1%+74.1%
5-year return+58.6%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)19.6%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.94-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-14.7%-32.5%
Dividend yield3.86%
Expense ratio0.49%
Assets under management$21.8B
Sector / categoryETF · InternationalETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: EWJ -14.7% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +58.6%

On the fund side, EWJ sits in the Japan Stock category at iShares, with $21.8B under management, 168 holdings, a 0.49% expense ratio, a 3.86% trailing dividend yield.

-6%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). EWJ · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearEWJUSO
2022-17.7%+29.0%
2023+20.3%-4.9%
2024+7.0%+13.4%
2025+25.8%-8.5%
2026+19.3%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are EWJ and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.25, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between EWJ and USO?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between EWJ and USO is -0.25 over 3 years, -0.53 over 1 year and -0.09 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for EWJ?

Yes: at -0.25, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.25 mean?

A reading of -0.25 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/ewj-vs-uso.json

EWJ vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.25EWJ vs USO-0.25

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Related comparisons

Hubs: EWJ correlations · USO correlations