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ESRT vs SPY: Correlation

How closely do Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. (ESRT) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.41, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.41
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.34
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.44
long-run
Ann. covariance
182.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ESRT and SPY?

Over the past 3 years, ESRT and SPY moved with a correlation of 0.41, which is moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.34 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.44, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 182.2 %².

Within ESRT's tracked universe of 11 assets, SPY comes in at #6 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with SPY ahead by 58.2 points (-37.6% versus +20.6%). One caveat on sizing: ESRT is 2.1 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ESRT vs SPY: side by side

ESRT (Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return-37.6%+20.6%
5-year return-50.4%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)31.0%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.871.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-58.1%-18.8%
Market cap$1.4B
P/E (trailing)232.0
Dividend yield2.97%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: ESRT 2.97% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -58.1%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs -50.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-40%0%+21%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ESRT · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearESRTSPY
2022-22.8%-18.2%
2023+46.3%+26.2%
2024+8.0%+24.9%
2025-35.7%+17.7%
2026-27.9%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ESRT and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.41, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ESRT and SPY?

The ESRT/SPY correlation stands at 0.41 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.34, 5 years: 0.44), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SPY a good diversifier for ESRT?

A fair diversifier. At 0.41, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.41 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.41 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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ESRT vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.41ESRT vs SPY0.41

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Hubs: ESRT correlations · SPY correlations