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EL vs XLP: Correlation

Estée Lauder Companies (The) (EL) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.22.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.22
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.09
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.31
long-run
Ann. covariance
113.6
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are EL and XLP?

Over the past 3 years, EL and XLP moved with a correlation of 0.22, which is weak. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.09) runs below the 3-year figure (0.22). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.31, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 113.6 %².

Within EL's tracked universe of 35 assets, XLP comes in at #25 by 3-year correlation. On 12-month performance EL holds a 8.1-point edge, +16.4% against +8.3%. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.11 and 0.43 over the past three years, a moderate range. One caveat on sizing: EL is 4.2 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

EL vs XLP: side by side

EL (Estée Lauder Companies (The))XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+16.4%+8.3%
5-year return-66.7%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)47.0%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5001.280.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-68.4%-9.7%
Market cap$38.4B
P/E (trailing)208.3
Dividend yield1.33%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesSector ETF
Higher yield: XLP 2.58% vs 1.33%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -68.4%Higher 5y return: XLP +34.7% vs -66.7%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-24%0%+32%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. EL · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearELXLP
2022-32.3%-0.8%
2023-40.1%-0.8%
2024-47.6%+12.2%
2025+42.1%+1.5%
2026+2.1%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

EL represents 1.63% of XLP's portfolio, so part of any move in XLP is EL itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are EL and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.22 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between EL and XLP?

The EL/XLP correlation stands at 0.22 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.09, 5 years: 0.31), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is XLP a good diversifier for EL?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.22 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.22 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.22 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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EL vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.22EL vs XLP0.22

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Hubs: EL correlations · XLP correlations