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EFX vs PAYX: Correlation

How closely do Equifax (EFX) and Paychex (PAYX) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.54, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.54
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.67
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.59
long-run
Ann. covariance
382.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are EFX and PAYX?

Over the past 3 years, EFX and PAYX moved with a correlation of 0.54, which is moderate. Lately the two have moved closer together, with the 1-year correlation at 0.67 versus 0.54 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.59, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 382.4 %².

Within EFX's tracked universe of 53 assets, PAYX comes in at #18 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months PAYX outperformed by 17.0 percentage points (-21.8% for EFX against -4.8% for PAYX). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.37 and 0.67 over the past three years, a moderate range. Note the risk asymmetry: EFX runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

EFX vs PAYX: side by side

EFX (Equifax)PAYX (Paychex)
1-year return-21.8%-4.8%
5-year return-26.0%+29.0%
Volatility (ann.)33.3%21.3%
Beta vs S&P 5001.250.47
Max drawdown (3Y)-49.7%-45.0%
Market cap$22.4B$45.0B
P/E (trailing)33.525.5
Dividend yield1.11%0.00%
Sector / categoryIndustrialsIndustrials
Lower P/E: PAYX 25.5 vs 33.5Higher yield: EFX 1.11% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: PAYX -45.0% vs -49.7%Higher 5y return: PAYX +29.0% vs -26.0%
-38%0%+3%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. EFX · PAYX

Year-by-year returns

YearEFXPAYX
2022-33.1%-13.2%
2023+28.2%+6.2%
2024+3.7%+21.3%
2025-14.2%-17.5%
2026-11.7%+16.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are EFX and PAYX good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.54 means EFX and PAYX share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between EFX and PAYX?

The EFX/PAYX correlation stands at 0.54 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.67, 5 years: 0.59), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is PAYX a good diversifier for EFX?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.54 means EFX and PAYX share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.54 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.54 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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EFX vs PAYX: 3-year weekly correlation 0.54EFX vs PAYX0.54

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Hubs: EFX correlations · PAYX correlations