PairBook
HomeEEM › EEM vs USO

EEM vs USO: Correlation

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) and United States Oil Fund (USO) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.26.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.26
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.52
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.07
long-run
Ann. covariance
-182.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are EEM and USO?

Over the past 3 years, EEM and USO moved with a correlation of -0.26, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.52) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.26). Over 5 years the correlation is -0.07, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -182.0 %².

Among the 67 assets we track against EEM, USO sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #64. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USO ahead by 36.0 points (+38.1% versus +74.1%). This link changes with the market regime, having swung between -0.60 and 0.34 on a rolling one-year basis. One caveat on sizing: USO is 2.2 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

EEM vs USO: side by side

EEM (iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return+38.1%+74.1%
5-year return+47.1%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)18.0%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.85-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-17.3%-32.5%
Dividend yield1.73%
Expense ratio0.72%
Assets under management$29.2B
Sector / categoryETF · InternationalETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: EEM -17.3% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +47.1%

EEM is a Diversified Emerging Mkts fund from iShares: $29.2B under management, 968 holdings, a 0.72% expense ratio, a 1.73% trailing dividend yield.

-6%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). EEM · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearEEMUSO
2022-20.6%+29.0%
2023+8.9%-4.9%
2024+6.5%+13.4%
2025+34.0%-8.5%
2026+24.2%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are EEM and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.26, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between EEM and USO?

The EEM/USO correlation stands at -0.26 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.52, 5 years: -0.07), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is USO a good diversifier for EEM?

Yes: at -0.26, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.26 mean?

A reading of -0.26 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/eem-vs-uso.json

EEM vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.26EEM vs USO-0.26

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![EEM vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/eem-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/eem-vs-uso/)

No key needed, free to use. Full endpoint list in the API documentation.

Related comparisons

Hubs: EEM correlations · USO correlations