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DTF vs NUV: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, DTF Tax-Free Income 2028 Term Fund Inc. (DTF) and Nuveen Municipal Value Fund, Inc. (NUV) carry a correlation of 0.62, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.62
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.40
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.63
long-run
Ann. covariance
26.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are DTF and NUV?

On 3 years of weekly data the DTF/NUV correlation comes out at 0.62, strong. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.40) runs below the 3-year figure (0.62). The 5-year figure is 0.63, and annualized covariance runs at 26.2 %².

Among the 10 assets we track against DTF, NUV ranks #5 by 3-year correlation. Neither side won the trailing year by much: +5.6% against +8.1%. Note the risk asymmetry: NUV runs 1.7 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

DTF vs NUV: side by side

DTF (DTF Tax-Free Income 2028 Term Fund Inc.)NUV (Nuveen Municipal Value Fund, Inc.)
1-year return+5.6%+8.1%
5-year return-7.5%-6.9%
Volatility (ann.)5.0%8.4%
Beta vs S&P 5000.100.18
Max drawdown (3Y)-5.4%-6.4%
Market cap$0.1B$1.9B
P/E (trailing)28.117.6
Dividend yield3.37%4.36%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Lower P/E: NUV 17.6 vs 28.1Higher yield: NUV 4.36% vs 3.37%Smaller drawdown: DTF -5.4% vs -6.4%Higher 5y return: NUV -6.9% vs -7.5%
0%0%+9%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. DTF · NUV

Year-by-year returns

YearDTFNUV
2022-21.1%-14.0%
2023+2.2%+4.0%
2024+8.2%+4.0%
2025+5.4%+10.3%
2026+3.1%+1.8%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are DTF and NUV good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.62 means DTF and NUV share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between DTF and NUV?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between DTF and NUV is 0.62 over 3 years, 0.40 over 1 year and 0.63 over 5 years.

Is NUV a good diversifier for DTF?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.62 means DTF and NUV share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.62 mean?

A reading of 0.62 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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DTF vs NUV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.62DTF vs NUV0.62

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Hubs: DTF correlations · NUV correlations