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DRI vs MDY: Correlation

Darden Restaurants (DRI) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.43.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.43
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.60
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.51
long-run
Ann. covariance
177.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are DRI and MDY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of DRI and MDY correlate at 0.43, moderate. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.60) runs above the 3-year figure (0.43). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.51, with an annualized covariance of 177.8 %².

Within DRI's tracked universe of 34 assets, MDY comes in at #12 by 3-year correlation. On 12-month performance MDY holds a 12.7-point edge, +5.6% against +18.3%. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.18 to 0.60. One caveat on sizing: DRI is 1.5 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

DRI vs MDY: side by side

DRI (Darden Restaurants)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return+5.6%+18.3%
5-year return+66.1%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)25.2%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.520.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-23.9%-24.0%
Market cap$24.0B
P/E (trailing)21.0
Dividend yield2.74%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: DRI 2.74% vs 1.02%Smaller drawdown: DRI -23.9% vs -24.0%Higher 5y return: DRI +66.1% vs +47.5%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-17%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. DRI · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearDRIMDY
2022-4.8%-13.3%
2023+22.8%+16.1%
2024+17.7%+13.6%
2025+1.6%+7.2%
2026+17.4%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are DRI and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.43, DRI and MDY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between DRI and MDY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.43 over 3 years, with 0.60 over the last year and 0.51 over 5 years.

Is MDY a good diversifier for DRI?

Reasonably. At 0.43, DRI and MDY keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.43 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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DRI vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.43DRI vs MDY0.43

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Hubs: DRI correlations · MDY correlations