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DOV vs MDY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Dover Corporation (DOV) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) carry a correlation of 0.79, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.79
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.58
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.80
long-run
Ann. covariance
297.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are DOV and MDY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of DOV and MDY correlate at 0.79, strong. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.58) than the 3-year average (0.79). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.80, with an annualized covariance of 297.3 %².

In DOV's tracked universe of 78 assets, MDY sits right near the top at #1. On 12-month performance MDY holds a 6.7-point edge, +11.6% against +18.3%. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.60 to 0.92.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

DOV vs MDY: side by side

DOV (Dover Corporation)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return+11.6%+18.3%
5-year return+21.8%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)22.8%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.990.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-26.6%-24.0%
Market cap$27.2B
P/E (trailing)24.8
Dividend yield1.02%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -26.6%Higher 5y return: MDY +47.5% vs +21.8%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-9%0%+32%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. DOV · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearDOVMDY
2022-24.3%-13.3%
2023+15.2%+16.1%
2024+23.3%+13.6%
2025+5.2%+7.2%
2026+3.9%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are DOV and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.79 means DOV and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between DOV and MDY?

The DOV/MDY correlation stands at 0.79 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.58, 5 years: 0.80), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is MDY a good diversifier for DOV?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.79 means DOV and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.79 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.79 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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DOV vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.79DOV vs MDY0.79

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Hubs: DOV correlations · MDY correlations