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DFNS vs XLY: Correlation

How closely do T3 Defense Inc. (DFNS) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.17, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.17
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.26
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.11
long-run
Ann. covariance
-20010.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are DFNS and XLY?

On 3 years of weekly data the DFNS/XLY correlation comes out at -0.17, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Recent behaviour matches the longer record: -0.26 over 1 year against -0.17 over 3. The 5-year figure is -0.11, and annualized covariance runs at -20010.2 %².

Among the 44 assets we track against DFNS, XLY ranks #13 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with DFNS ahead by 193.6 points (+193.5% versus -0.1%). Note the risk asymmetry: DFNS runs 311.5 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

DFNS vs XLY: side by side

DFNS (T3 Defense Inc.)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+193.5%-0.1%
5-year return-77.9%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)6136.1%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 500-23.331.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-99.9%-26.0%
Market cap
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedSector ETF
Higher yield: XLY 0.78% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -99.9%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs -77.9%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-99%0%+694%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). DFNS · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearDFNSXLY
2022+5.0%-36.3%
2023-62.5%+39.6%
2024+59.9%+26.5%
2025-89.0%+7.4%
2026+215.4%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are DFNS and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.17 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between DFNS and XLY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between DFNS and XLY is -0.17 over 3 years, -0.26 over 1 year and -0.11 over 5 years.

Is XLY a good diversifier for DFNS?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.17 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.17 mean?

A reading of -0.17 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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DFNS vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation -0.17DFNS vs XLY-0.17

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Hubs: DFNS correlations · XLY correlations