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DFNS vs MSCI: Correlation

How closely do T3 Defense Inc. (DFNS) and MSCI (MSCI) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of -0.29, which is negative.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.29
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.42
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.19
long-run
Ann. covariance
-45431.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are DFNS and MSCI?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of DFNS and MSCI correlate at -0.29, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (-0.42) runs below the 3-year figure (-0.29). Stretching to 5 years gives -0.19, with an annualized covariance of -45431.7 %².

Among the 44 assets we track against DFNS, MSCI ranks #37 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: DFNS led by 192.2 percentage points, +193.5% for DFNS against +1.3% for MSCI. Note the risk asymmetry: DFNS runs 241.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

DFNS vs MSCI: side by side

DFNS (T3 Defense Inc.)MSCI (MSCI)
1-year return+193.5%+1.3%
5-year return-77.9%-5.6%
Volatility (ann.)6136.1%25.4%
Beta vs S&P 500-23.330.85
Max drawdown (3Y)-99.9%-26.0%
Market cap$41.4B
P/E (trailing)30.9
Dividend yield0.00%1.36%
Sector / categoryUS ListedFinancials
Higher yield: MSCI 1.36% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MSCI -26.0% vs -99.9%Higher 5y return: MSCI -5.6% vs -77.9%
-99%0%+694%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). DFNS · MSCI

Year-by-year returns

YearDFNSMSCI
2022+5.0%-23.3%
2023-62.5%+22.9%
2024+59.9%+7.3%
2025-89.0%-3.2%
2026+215.4%+0.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are DFNS and MSCI good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.29, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between DFNS and MSCI?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between DFNS and MSCI is -0.29 over 3 years, -0.42 over 1 year and -0.19 over 5 years.

Is MSCI a good diversifier for DFNS?

Yes: at -0.29, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.29 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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DFNS vs MSCI: 3-year weekly correlation -0.29DFNS vs MSCI-0.29

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Hubs: DFNS correlations · MSCI correlations