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DFNS vs FCFS: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, T3 Defense Inc. (DFNS) and FirstCash Holdings, Inc. (FCFS) carry a correlation of -0.25, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.25
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.39
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.16
long-run
Ann. covariance
-35030.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are DFNS and FCFS?

Over the past 3 years, DFNS and FCFS moved with a correlation of -0.25, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.39 versus -0.25 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is -0.16, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -35030.2 %².

By 3-year correlation, FCFS places #30 of the 44 assets tracked against DFNS. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months DFNS outperformed by 141.4 percentage points (+193.5% for DFNS against +52.1% for FCFS). One caveat on sizing: DFNS is 263.4 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

DFNS vs FCFS: side by side

DFNS (T3 Defense Inc.)FCFS (FirstCash Holdings, Inc.)
1-year return+193.5%+52.1%
5-year return-77.9%+180.4%
Volatility (ann.)6136.1%23.3%
Beta vs S&P 500-23.330.08
Max drawdown (3Y)-99.9%-23.4%
Market cap$9.7B
P/E (trailing)25.0
Dividend yield0.00%0.76%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Higher yield: FCFS 0.76% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: FCFS -23.4% vs -99.9%Higher 5y return: FCFS +180.4% vs -77.9%
-99%0%+694%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). DFNS · FCFS

Year-by-year returns

YearDFNSFCFS
2022+5.0%+18.0%
2023-62.5%+26.5%
2024+59.9%-3.2%
2025-89.0%+55.7%
2026+215.4%+41.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are DFNS and FCFS good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.25, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between DFNS and FCFS?

The DFNS/FCFS correlation stands at -0.25 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.39, 5 years: -0.16), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is FCFS a good diversifier for DFNS?

Yes: at -0.25, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.25 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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DFNS vs FCFS: 3-year weekly correlation -0.25DFNS vs FCFS-0.25

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Hubs: DFNS correlations · FCFS correlations