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CVNA vs VTI: Correlation

Carvana (CVNA) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.54.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.54
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.55
long-run
Ann. covariance
586.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CVNA and VTI?

Over the past 3 years, CVNA and VTI moved with a correlation of 0.54, which is moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.61 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.55, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 586.2 %².

By 3-year correlation, VTI places #9 of the 35 assets tracked against CVNA. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with VTI ahead by 19.9 points (+0.8% versus +20.7%). Stability stands out here, with the rolling one-year correlation confined to 0.41 through 0.65. Risk is not evenly split, since CVNA carries 5.0 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CVNA vs VTI: side by side

CVNA (Carvana)VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF)
1-year return+0.8%+20.7%
5-year return+9.7%+74.8%
Volatility (ann.)73.7%14.6%
Beta vs S&P 5002.661.01
Max drawdown (3Y)-53.5%-19.3%
Market cap$82.1B
P/E (trailing)39.0
Dividend yield0.00%1.06%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$2,290.0B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: VTI 1.06% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: VTI -19.3% vs -53.5%Higher 5y return: VTI +74.8% vs +9.7%

VTI, Vanguard's Large Blend fund, carries $2,290.0B under management, 3140 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.06% trailing dividend yield.

-24%0%+28%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. CVNA · VTI

Year-by-year returns

YearCVNAVTI
2022-98.0%-19.5%
2023+1016.9%+26.0%
2024+284.1%+23.8%
2025+107.5%+17.1%
2026-12.2%+14.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 0.06% of VTI is CVNA itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are CVNA and VTI good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.54 means CVNA and VTI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CVNA and VTI?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.54 over 3 years, with 0.61 over the last year and 0.55 over 5 years.

Is VTI a good diversifier for CVNA?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.54 means CVNA and VTI share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.54 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.54 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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CVNA vs VTI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.54CVNA vs VTI0.54

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Hubs: CVNA correlations · VTI correlations