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CVE vs TLT: Correlation

Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.27.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.27
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.46
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.25
long-run
Ann. covariance
-130.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CVE and TLT?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of CVE and TLT correlate at -0.27, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.46 versus -0.27 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives -0.25, with an annualized covariance of -130.2 %².

TLT is close to the least connected end of CVE's tracked universe, ranking #27 of 30. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months CVE outperformed by 89.2 percentage points (+89.5% for CVE against +0.3% for TLT). Risk is not evenly split, since CVE carries 2.6 times the volatility of the other side.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CVE vs TLT: side by side

CVE (Cenovus Energy Inc)TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+89.5%+0.3%
5-year return+329.0%-34.0%
Volatility (ann.)35.6%13.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.180.11
Max drawdown (3Y)-49.6%-14.8%
Market cap$58.5B
P/E (trailing)12.1
Dividend yield2.60%4.75%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$41.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Bonds
Higher yield: TLT 4.75% vs 2.60%Smaller drawdown: TLT -14.8% vs -49.6%Higher 5y return: CVE +329.0% vs -34.0%

On the fund side, TLT sits in the Long Government category at iShares, with $41.5B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 4.75% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+109%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. CVE · TLT

Year-by-year returns

YearCVETLT
2022+60.9%-31.2%
2023-12.3%+2.8%
2024-5.8%-8.1%
2025+13.9%+4.2%
2026+89.6%-2.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CVE and TLT good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.27 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CVE and TLT?

The CVE/TLT correlation stands at -0.27 on a 3-year window (1 year: -0.46, 5 years: -0.25), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is TLT a good diversifier for CVE?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.27 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.27 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, -0.27 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

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CVE vs TLT: 3-year weekly correlation -0.27CVE vs TLT-0.27

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Related comparisons

Hubs: CVE correlations · TLT correlations