CTGO vs SPY: Correlation
Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.29.
Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology
How correlated are CTGO and SPY?
Over the past 3 years, CTGO and SPY moved with a correlation of 0.29, which is weak. The past 12 months show a tighter link (0.59) than the 3-year average (0.29). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.18, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 279.1 %².
Out of 11 assets tracked against CTGO, SPY lands near the bottom at #7. The last year tells two different stories: SPY led by 23.9 percentage points, -3.3% for CTGO against +20.6% for SPY. One caveat on sizing: CTGO is 4.6 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.
How is this computed?
Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.
CTGO vs SPY: side by side
| CTGO (Contango Silver & Gold Inc.) | SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | -3.3% | +20.6% |
| 5-year return | +13.2% | +82.4% |
| Volatility (ann.) | 66.5% | 14.5% |
| Beta vs S&P 500 | 1.34 | 1.00 |
| Max drawdown (3Y) | -64.1% | -18.8% |
| Market cap | $0.7B | – |
| P/E (trailing) | – | – |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 1.01% |
| Expense ratio | – | 0.09% |
| Assets under management | – | $795.3B |
| Sector / category | US Listed | ETF · US Large Cap |
SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.
Year-by-year returns
| Year | CTGO | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -10.5% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | -21.0% | +26.2% |
| 2024 | -44.7% | +24.9% |
| 2025 | +163.6% | +17.7% |
| 2026 | -22.8% | +13.7% |
Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.
Are CTGO and SPY good diversifiers for each other?
Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.29 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.
FAQ
What is the correlation between CTGO and SPY?
The CTGO/SPY correlation stands at 0.29 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.59, 5 years: 0.18), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.
Is SPY a good diversifier for CTGO?
Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.29 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.
What does a correlation of 0.29 mean?
On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.29 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.
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Related comparisons
Hubs: CTGO correlations · SPY correlations
