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CPAY vs XLF: Correlation

How closely do Corpay (CPAY) and Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.67, which is strong.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.67
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.46
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.65
long-run
Ann. covariance
342.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CPAY and XLF?

On 3 years of weekly data the CPAY/XLF correlation comes out at 0.67, strong. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.46 versus 0.67 over 3 years. The 5-year figure is 0.65, and annualized covariance runs at 342.0 %².

Within CPAY's tracked universe of 32 assets, XLF comes in at #4 by 3-year correlation. Over the last 12 months CPAY came out ahead by 14.8 percentage points (+24.1% against +9.3%). Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.47 to 0.89. Note the risk asymmetry: CPAY runs 2.0 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CPAY vs XLF: side by side

CPAY (Corpay)XLF (Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+24.1%+9.3%
5-year return+55.2%+64.2%
Volatility (ann.)31.7%16.2%
Beta vs S&P 5001.220.84
Max drawdown (3Y)-34.5%-15.5%
Market cap$26.5B
P/E (trailing)24.7
Dividend yield0.00%1.42%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$57.9B
Sector / categoryFinancialsSector ETF
Higher yield: XLF 1.42% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: XLF -15.5% vs -34.5%Higher 5y return: XLF +64.2% vs +55.2%

XLF is a Financial fund from State Street Investment Management: $57.9B under management, 77 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 1.42% trailing dividend yield.

-18%0%+32%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CPAY · XLF

Year-by-year returns

YearCPAYXLF
2022-17.9%-10.6%
2023+53.9%+12.0%
2024+19.7%+30.6%
2025-11.1%+14.9%
2026+34.1%+6.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

CPAY represents 0.32% of XLF's portfolio, so part of any move in XLF is CPAY itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are CPAY and XLF good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.67 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CPAY and XLF?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.67 over 3 years, with 0.46 over the last year and 0.65 over 5 years.

Is XLF a good diversifier for CPAY?

To a limited degree. At 0.67 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.67 mean?

A reading of 0.67 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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CPAY vs XLF: 3-year weekly correlation 0.67CPAY vs XLF0.67

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Hubs: CPAY correlations · XLF correlations