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CPA vs UAL: Correlation

How closely do Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA) and United Airlines Holdings (UAL) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.57, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.71
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.60
long-run
Ann. covariance
781.8
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CPA and UAL?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of CPA and UAL correlate at 0.57, moderate. Lately the two have moved closer together, with the 1-year correlation at 0.71 versus 0.57 over 3 years. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.60, with an annualized covariance of 781.8 %².

Few assets follow CPA as closely as UAL, which ranks #3 of 12 tracked partners. On 12-month performance CPA holds a 10.0-point edge, +17.8% against +7.8%. Note the risk asymmetry: UAL runs 1.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CPA vs UAL: side by side

CPA (Copa Holdings, S.A.)UAL (United Airlines Holdings)
1-year return+17.8%+7.8%
5-year return+112.6%+144.8%
Volatility (ann.)29.3%46.6%
Beta vs S&P 5000.831.33
Max drawdown (3Y)-29.2%-49.2%
Market cap$5.4B$36.5B
P/E (trailing)8.710.8
Dividend yield5.01%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedIndustrials
Lower P/E: CPA 8.7 vs 10.8Higher yield: CPA 5.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: CPA -29.2% vs -49.2%Higher 5y return: UAL +144.8% vs +112.6%
-19%0%+38%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. CPA · UAL

Year-by-year returns

YearCPAUAL
2022+0.6%-13.9%
2023+32.4%+9.4%
2024-11.5%+135.3%
2025+45.6%+15.2%
2026+11.5%+0.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CPA and UAL good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.57 means CPA and UAL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CPA and UAL?

The CPA/UAL correlation stands at 0.57 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.71, 5 years: 0.60), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is UAL a good diversifier for CPA?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.57 means CPA and UAL share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/cpa-vs-ual.json

CPA vs UAL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57CPA vs UAL0.57

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Hubs: CPA correlations · UAL correlations