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COST vs VIG: Correlation

How closely do Costco (COST) and Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.40, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.40
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.26
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.58
long-run
Ann. covariance
93.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are COST and VIG?

On 3 years of weekly data the COST/VIG correlation comes out at 0.40, moderate. The past 12 months show a weaker link (0.26) than the 3-year average (0.40). The 5-year figure is 0.58, and annualized covariance runs at 93.4 %².

Among the 33 assets we track against COST, VIG ranks #11 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months VIG outperformed by 18.1 percentage points (-1.0% for COST against +17.1% for VIG). The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.24 and 0.69 over the past three years, a moderate range. One caveat on sizing: COST is 1.7 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

COST vs VIG: side by side

COST (Costco)VIG (Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF)
1-year return-1.0%+17.1%
5-year return+116.3%+64.0%
Volatility (ann.)19.8%11.9%
Beta vs S&P 5000.450.74
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.7%-15.0%
Market cap$414.5B
P/E (trailing)48.1
Dividend yield0.56%1.50%
Expense ratio0.04%
Assets under management$130.9B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesETF · Dividend
Higher yield: VIG 1.50% vs 0.56%Smaller drawdown: VIG -15.0% vs -20.7%Higher 5y return: COST +116.3% vs +64.0%

VIG, Vanguard's Large Blend fund, carries $130.9B under management, 333 holdings, a 0.04% expense ratio, a 1.50% trailing dividend yield.

-11%0%+18%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). COST · VIG

Year-by-year returns

YearCOSTVIG
2022-19.0%-9.8%
2023+49.0%+14.5%
2024+39.6%+17.0%
2025-5.4%+14.2%
2026+8.9%+11.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 1.83% of VIG is COST itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are COST and VIG good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.40 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between COST and VIG?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between COST and VIG is 0.40 over 3 years, 0.26 over 1 year and 0.58 over 5 years.

Is VIG a good diversifier for COST?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.40 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.40 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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COST vs VIG: 3-year weekly correlation 0.40COST vs VIG0.40

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Related comparisons

Hubs: COST correlations · VIG correlations