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COST vs FCAP: Correlation

Costco (COST) and First Capital, Inc. (FCAP) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.21.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.21
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.48
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.08
long-run
Ann. covariance
-160.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are COST and FCAP?

Over the past 3 years, COST and FCAP moved with a correlation of -0.21, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.48 versus -0.21 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is -0.08, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -160.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, FCAP places #26 of the 33 assets tracked against COST. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with FCAP ahead by 56.8 points (-1.0% versus +55.8%). Note the risk asymmetry: FCAP runs 2.0 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

COST vs FCAP: side by side

COST (Costco)FCAP (First Capital, Inc.)
1-year return-1.0%+55.8%
5-year return+116.3%+72.5%
Volatility (ann.)19.8%38.7%
Beta vs S&P 5000.450.26
Max drawdown (3Y)-20.7%-32.5%
Market cap$414.5B$0.2B
P/E (trailing)48.111.3
Dividend yield0.56%2.02%
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesUS Listed
Lower P/E: FCAP 11.3 vs 48.1Higher yield: FCAP 2.02% vs 0.56%Smaller drawdown: COST -20.7% vs -32.5%Higher 5y return: COST +116.3% vs +72.5%
-11%0%+56%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). COST · FCAP

Year-by-year returns

YearCOSTFCAP
2022-19.0%-36.3%
2023+49.0%+16.5%
2024+39.6%+20.0%
2025-5.4%+88.4%
2026+8.9%+6.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are COST and FCAP good diversifiers for each other?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.21, COST and FCAP have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

FAQ

What is the correlation between COST and FCAP?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between COST and FCAP is -0.21 over 3 years, -0.48 over 1 year and -0.08 over 5 years.

Is FCAP a good diversifier for COST?

Yes. With a correlation of -0.21, COST and FCAP have moved largely independently, which makes them a genuinely diversifying pair by historical standards.

What does a correlation of -0.21 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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COST vs FCAP: 3-year weekly correlation -0.21COST vs FCAP-0.21

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Hubs: COST correlations · FCAP correlations