CNL vs SPY: Correlation
Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.17.
Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology
How correlated are CNL and SPY?
On 3 years of weekly data the CNL/SPY correlation comes out at 0.17, weak. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.41) runs above the 3-year figure (0.17). The 5-year figure is 0.04, and annualized covariance runs at 146.5 %².
Among the 10 assets we track against CNL, SPY sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #6. The trailing year gives CNL the advantage: +31.0% versus +20.6%, a 10.4-point spread. One caveat on sizing: CNL is 4.1 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.
How is this computed?
Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.
CNL vs SPY: side by side
| CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.) | SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +31.0% | +20.6% |
| 5-year return | +565.6% | +82.4% |
| Volatility (ann.) | 59.9% | 14.5% |
| Beta vs S&P 500 | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| Max drawdown (3Y) | -51.6% | -18.8% |
| Market cap | $1.5B | – |
| P/E (trailing) | – | – |
| Dividend yield | 0.00% | 1.01% |
| Expense ratio | – | 0.09% |
| Assets under management | – | $795.3B |
| Sector / category | US Listed | ETF · US Large Cap |
SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.
Year-by-year returns
| Year | CNL | SPY |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -12.8% | -18.2% |
| 2023 | +67.4% | +26.2% |
| 2024 | +29.6% | +24.9% |
| 2025 | +250.7% | +17.7% |
| 2026 | +9.8% | +13.7% |
Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.
Are CNL and SPY good diversifiers for each other?
Yes: at 0.17, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.
FAQ
What is the correlation between CNL and SPY?
As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CNL and SPY is 0.17 over 3 years, 0.41 over 1 year and 0.04 over 5 years.
Is SPY a good diversifier for CNL?
Yes: at 0.17, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.
What does a correlation of 0.17 mean?
A reading of 0.17 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.
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Hubs: CNL correlations · SPY correlations