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CNL vs SPY: Correlation

Collective Mining Ltd. (CNL) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) show a weak relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.17.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.17
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.41
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.04
long-run
Ann. covariance
146.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CNL and SPY?

On 3 years of weekly data the CNL/SPY correlation comes out at 0.17, weak. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.41) runs above the 3-year figure (0.17). The 5-year figure is 0.04, and annualized covariance runs at 146.5 %².

Among the 10 assets we track against CNL, SPY sits near the bottom by co-movement, at rank #6. The trailing year gives CNL the advantage: +31.0% versus +20.6%, a 10.4-point spread. One caveat on sizing: CNL is 4.1 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CNL vs SPY: side by side

CNL (Collective Mining Ltd.)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+31.0%+20.6%
5-year return+565.6%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)59.9%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.701.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-51.6%-18.8%
Market cap$1.5B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -51.6%Higher 5y return: CNL +565.6% vs +82.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-28%0%+48%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. CNL · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearCNLSPY
2022-12.8%-18.2%
2023+67.4%+26.2%
2024+29.6%+24.9%
2025+250.7%+17.7%
2026+9.8%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CNL and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at 0.17, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CNL and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CNL and SPY is 0.17 over 3 years, 0.41 over 1 year and 0.04 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for CNL?

Yes: at 0.17, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of 0.17 mean?

A reading of 0.17 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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CNL vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.17CNL vs SPY0.17

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Hubs: CNL correlations · SPY correlations