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CMI vs VTV: Correlation

Cummins (CMI) and Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.60.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.60
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.33
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.65
long-run
Ann. covariance
183.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CMI and VTV?

On 3 years of weekly data the CMI/VTV correlation comes out at 0.60, strong. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.33) runs below the 3-year figure (0.60). The 5-year figure is 0.65, and annualized covariance runs at 183.9 %².

Within CMI's tracked universe of 36 assets, VTV comes in at #15 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with CMI ahead by 19.4 points (+45.1% versus +25.7%). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.33 and 0.81, a moderate band. Risk is not evenly split, since CMI carries 2.2 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CMI vs VTV: side by side

CMI (Cummins)VTV (Vanguard Value ETF)
1-year return+45.1%+25.7%
5-year return+169.6%+79.1%
Volatility (ann.)25.9%11.9%
Beta vs S&P 5001.050.65
Max drawdown (3Y)-30.5%-14.5%
Market cap$79.0B
P/E (trailing)29.6
Dividend yield1.38%1.86%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$256.4B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Style
Higher yield: VTV 1.86% vs 1.38%Smaller drawdown: VTV -14.5% vs -30.5%Higher 5y return: CMI +169.6% vs +79.1%

On the fund side, VTV sits in the Large Value category at Vanguard, with $256.4B under management, 308 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.86% trailing dividend yield.

0%+81%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CMI · VTV

Year-by-year returns

YearCMIVTV
2022+14.1%-2.1%
2023+1.7%+9.3%
2024+48.9%+16.0%
2025+49.4%+15.3%
2026+13.6%+19.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

CMI represents 0.33% of VTV's portfolio, so part of any move in VTV is CMI itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are CMI and VTV good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.60 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CMI and VTV?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.60 over 3 years, with 0.33 over the last year and 0.65 over 5 years.

Is VTV a good diversifier for CMI?

To a limited degree. At 0.60 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.60 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.60 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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CMI vs VTV: 3-year weekly correlation 0.60CMI vs VTV0.60

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Hubs: CMI correlations · VTV correlations