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CMI vs VTI: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Cummins (CMI) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) carry a correlation of 0.60, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.60
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.42
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.62
long-run
Ann. covariance
227.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CMI and VTI?

Over the past 3 years, CMI and VTI moved with a correlation of 0.60, which is strong. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.42 versus 0.60 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.62, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 227.4 %².

Within CMI's tracked universe of 36 assets, VTI comes in at #14 by 3-year correlation. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with CMI ahead by 24.4 points (+45.1% versus +20.7%). On a rolling one-year basis the correlation drifted between 0.39 and 0.84, a moderate band. Risk is not evenly split, since CMI carries 1.8 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CMI vs VTI: side by side

CMI (Cummins)VTI (Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF)
1-year return+45.1%+20.7%
5-year return+169.6%+74.8%
Volatility (ann.)25.9%14.6%
Beta vs S&P 5001.051.01
Max drawdown (3Y)-30.5%-19.3%
Market cap$79.0B
P/E (trailing)29.6
Dividend yield1.38%1.06%
Expense ratio0.03%
Assets under management$2,290.0B
Sector / categoryIndustrialsETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: CMI 1.38% vs 1.06%Smaller drawdown: VTI -19.3% vs -30.5%Higher 5y return: CMI +169.6% vs +74.8%

VTI, Vanguard's Large Blend fund, carries $2,290.0B under management, 3140 holdings, a 0.03% expense ratio, a 1.06% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+81%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. CMI · VTI

Year-by-year returns

YearCMIVTI
2022+14.1%-19.5%
2023+1.7%+26.0%
2024+48.9%+23.8%
2025+49.4%+17.1%
2026+13.6%+14.2%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that VTI holds CMI at a 0.12% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are CMI and VTI good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.60 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CMI and VTI?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.60 over 3 years, with 0.42 over the last year and 0.62 over 5 years.

Is VTI a good diversifier for CMI?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.60 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.60 mean?

A reading of 0.60 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

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CMI vs VTI: 3-year weekly correlation 0.60CMI vs VTI0.60

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Related comparisons

Hubs: CMI correlations · VTI correlations