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CMG vs QUAL: Correlation

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) and iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (QUAL) show a moderate relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.43.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.43
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.40
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.51
long-run
Ann. covariance
212.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CMG and QUAL?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of CMG and QUAL correlate at 0.43, moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.40 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives 0.51, with an annualized covariance of 212.4 %².

By 3-year correlation, QUAL places #11 of the 36 assets tracked against CMG. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months QUAL outperformed by 32.4 percentage points (-12.7% for CMG against +19.7% for QUAL). The rolling one-year correlation stayed in a tight band between 0.35 and 0.53 over the past three years, which points to a structural rather than episodic relationship. One caveat on sizing: CMG is 2.6 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CMG vs QUAL: side by side

CMG (Chipotle Mexican Grill)QUAL (iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF)
1-year return-12.7%+19.7%
5-year return-2.9%+68.0%
Volatility (ann.)35.7%14.0%
Beta vs S&P 5000.890.93
Max drawdown (3Y)-58.9%-18.0%
Market cap$47.1B
P/E (trailing)34.5
Dividend yield0.00%0.86%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$46.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryETF · US Style
Higher yield: QUAL 0.86% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: QUAL -18.0% vs -58.9%Higher 5y return: QUAL +68.0% vs -2.9%

QUAL, iShares's Large Blend fund, carries $46.5B under management, 123 holdings, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 0.86% trailing dividend yield.

-28%0%+20%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CMG · QUAL

Year-by-year returns

YearCMGQUAL
2022-20.6%-20.5%
2023+64.8%+30.9%
2024+31.8%+22.3%
2025-38.6%+12.7%
2026+0.6%+13.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that QUAL holds CMG at a 0.97% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are CMG and QUAL good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.43, CMG and QUAL keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CMG and QUAL?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.43 over 3 years, with 0.40 over the last year and 0.51 over 5 years.

Is QUAL a good diversifier for CMG?

Reasonably. At 0.43, CMG and QUAL keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.43 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.43 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

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CMG vs QUAL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.43CMG vs QUAL0.43

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Hubs: CMG correlations · QUAL correlations