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CF vs XOM: Correlation

CF Industries (CF) and ExxonMobil (XOM) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.60.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.60
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.66
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.52
long-run
Ann. covariance
481.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CF and XOM?

Over the past 3 years, CF and XOM moved with a correlation of 0.60, which is strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.66) sits close to the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.52, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 481.5 %².

By 3-year correlation, XOM places #7 of the 50 assets tracked against CF. On 12-month performance CF holds a 5.8-point edge, +48.6% against +42.8%. Stability stands out here, with the rolling one-year correlation confined to 0.43 through 0.67.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CF vs XOM: side by side

CF (CF Industries)XOM (ExxonMobil)
1-year return+48.6%+42.8%
5-year return+211.5%+237.9%
Volatility (ann.)32.8%24.3%
Beta vs S&P 500-0.200.01
Max drawdown (3Y)-29.2%-20.1%
Market cap$19.0B$643.3B
P/E (trailing)9.320.1
Dividend yield1.59%2.58%
Sector / categoryMaterialsEnergy
Lower P/E: CF 9.3 vs 20.1Higher yield: XOM 2.58% vs 1.59%Smaller drawdown: XOM -20.1% vs -29.2%Higher 5y return: XOM +237.9% vs +211.5%
-8%0%+63%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CF · XOM

Year-by-year returns

YearCFXOM
2022+22.3%+87.4%
2023-4.7%-6.3%
2024+10.1%+11.3%
2025-7.2%+16.0%
2026+64.9%+32.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CF and XOM good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.60 means CF and XOM share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CF and XOM?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.60 over 3 years, with 0.66 over the last year and 0.52 over 5 years.

Is XOM a good diversifier for CF?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.60 means CF and XOM share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.60 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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CF vs XOM: 3-year weekly correlation 0.60CF vs XOM0.60

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Hubs: CF correlations · XOM correlations