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CEG vs XLU: Correlation

How closely do Constellation Energy (CEG) and Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.38, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.38
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.50
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.41
long-run
Ann. covariance
310.1
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CEG and XLU?

Over the past 3 years, CEG and XLU moved with a correlation of 0.38, which is moderate. The link has tightened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.50) runs above the 3-year figure (0.38). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.41, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 310.1 %².

Among the 32 assets we track against CEG, XLU ranks #19 by 3-year correlation. The trailing year gives XLU the advantage: -10.1% versus +4.1%, a 14.2-point spread. Do not treat this figure as fixed: across three years the rolling one-year correlation ranged all the way from 0.08 to 0.61. Note the risk asymmetry: CEG runs 3.3 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CEG vs XLU: side by side

CEG (Constellation Energy)XLU (Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-10.1%+4.1%
5-year return+598.5%+46.3%
Volatility (ann.)52.1%15.8%
Beta vs S&P 5001.420.26
Max drawdown (3Y)-50.7%-13.1%
Market cap$100.1B
P/E (trailing)27.3
Dividend yield0.58%2.70%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$23.1B
Sector / categoryUtilitiesSector ETF
Higher yield: XLU 2.70% vs 0.58%Smaller drawdown: XLU -13.1% vs -50.7%Higher 5y return: CEG +598.5% vs +46.3%

XLU is an Utilities fund from State Street Investment Management: $23.1B under management, 31 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.70% trailing dividend yield.

-20%0%+29%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. CEG · XLU

Year-by-year returns

YearCEGXLU
2022+1.4%
2023+37.2%-7.2%
2024+92.7%+23.3%
2025+58.8%+16.0%
2026-19.7%+2.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

A structural note: 6.58% of XLU is CEG itself, so the fund partly moves with the stock by construction.

Are CEG and XLU good diversifiers for each other?

Reasonably. At 0.38, CEG and XLU keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CEG and XLU?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.38 over 3 years, with 0.50 over the last year and 0.41 over 5 years.

Is XLU a good diversifier for CEG?

Reasonably. At 0.38, CEG and XLU keep a meaningful degree of independence, and combining them has historically reduced portfolio volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.38 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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CEG vs XLU: 3-year weekly correlation 0.38CEG vs XLU0.38

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Related comparisons

Hubs: CEG correlations · XLU correlations