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CCL vs XLY: Correlation

How closely do Carnival Corporation (CCL) and Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.57, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.57
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.41
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.61
long-run
Ann. covariance
524.4
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CCL and XLY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of CCL and XLY correlate at 0.57, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.41) runs below the 3-year figure (0.57). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.61, with an annualized covariance of 524.4 %².

Among the 40 assets we track against CCL, XLY ranks #18 by 3-year correlation. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months XLY outperformed by 21.5 percentage points (-21.6% for CCL against -0.1% for XLY). Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.39 to 0.72. Note the risk asymmetry: CCL runs 2.4 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CCL vs XLY: side by side

CCL (Carnival Corporation)XLY (Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return-21.6%-0.1%
5-year return+7.3%+31.8%
Volatility (ann.)46.5%19.7%
Beta vs S&P 5001.721.15
Max drawdown (3Y)-42.3%-26.0%
Market cap$34.2B
P/E (trailing)11.5
Dividend yield1.17%0.78%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$22.5B
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionarySector ETF
Higher yield: CCL 1.17% vs 0.78%Smaller drawdown: XLY -26.0% vs -42.3%Higher 5y return: XLY +31.8% vs +7.3%

XLY is a Consumer Cyclical fund from State Street Investment Management: $22.5B under management, 47 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 0.78% trailing dividend yield.

-24%0%+8%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CCL · XLY

Year-by-year returns

YearCCLXLY
2022-59.9%-36.3%
2023+130.0%+39.6%
2024+34.4%+26.5%
2025+22.6%+7.4%
2026-17.0%-2.6%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

Keep in mind that XLY holds CCL at a 0.82% weight, which makes a slice of this correlation mechanical rather than coincidental.

Are CCL and XLY good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.57 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CCL and XLY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CCL and XLY is 0.57 over 3 years, 0.41 over 1 year and 0.61 over 5 years.

Is XLY a good diversifier for CCL?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.57 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.57 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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CCL vs XLY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.57CCL vs XLY0.57

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Hubs: CCL correlations · XLY correlations