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CCL vs USO: Correlation

Carnival Corporation (CCL) and United States Oil Fund (USO) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.27.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.27
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.51
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.12
long-run
Ann. covariance
-500.0
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CCL and USO?

Over the past 3 years, CCL and USO moved with a correlation of -0.27, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.51 versus -0.27 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is -0.12, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -500.0 %².

USO is close to the least connected end of CCL's tracked universe, ranking #36 of 40. Correlation aside, the last 12 months split them widely, with USO ahead by 95.7 points (-21.6% versus +74.1%). The relationship is regime-dependent: the rolling one-year correlation swung between -0.54 and 0.22 over the past three years, so this pair behaves very differently depending on the market environment.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CCL vs USO: side by side

CCL (Carnival Corporation)USO (United States Oil Fund)
1-year return-21.6%+74.1%
5-year return+7.3%+168.6%
Volatility (ann.)46.5%39.4%
Beta vs S&P 5001.72-0.20
Max drawdown (3Y)-42.3%-32.5%
Market cap$34.2B
P/E (trailing)11.5
Dividend yield1.17%
Sector / categoryConsumer DiscretionaryETF · Commodities
Smaller drawdown: USO -32.5% vs -42.3%Higher 5y return: USO +168.6% vs +7.3%
-24%0%+104%2025-09-052026-08-27
Price paths over the last 12 months, both indexed to 100 at the start (weekly closes). CCL · USO

Year-by-year returns

YearCCLUSO
2022-59.9%+29.0%
2023+130.0%-4.9%
2024+34.4%+13.4%
2025+22.6%-8.5%
2026-17.0%+88.0%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CCL and USO good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.27, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CCL and USO?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.27 over 3 years, with -0.51 over the last year and -0.12 over 5 years.

Is USO a good diversifier for CCL?

Yes: at -0.27, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.27 mean?

A reading of -0.27 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/ccl-vs-uso.json

CCL vs USO: 3-year weekly correlation -0.27CCL vs USO-0.27

Drop this badge in a README or notebook; it updates with the data:

[![CCL vs USO correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/ccl-vs-uso.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/ccl-vs-uso/)

No key needed, free to use. Full endpoint list in the API documentation.

Related comparisons

Hubs: CCL correlations · USO correlations