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CASY vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Casey's (CASY) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.19, a weak link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.19
weak
Correlation (1Y)
0.04
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.33
long-run
Ann. covariance
81.5
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are CASY and SPY?

Over the past 3 years, CASY and SPY moved with a correlation of 0.19, which is weak. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at 0.04 versus 0.19 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.33, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 81.5 %².

Among the 30 assets we track against CASY, SPY ranks #19 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: CASY led by 33.1 percentage points, +53.7% for CASY against +20.6% for SPY. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.02 and 0.45 over the past three years, a moderate range. Risk is not evenly split, since CASY carries 2.0 times the volatility of the other side.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
One-year correlation, rolled weekly across the last three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

CASY vs SPY: side by side

CASY (Casey's)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+53.7%+20.6%
5-year return+284.3%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)28.9%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.391.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-16.6%-18.8%
Market cap$28.2B
P/E (trailing)42.2
Dividend yield0.28%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: SPY 1.01% vs 0.28%Smaller drawdown: CASY -16.6% vs -18.8%Higher 5y return: CASY +284.3% vs +82.4%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-1%0%+78%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. CASY · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearCASYSPY
2022+14.5%-18.2%
2023+23.3%+26.2%
2024+45.0%+24.9%
2025+40.1%+17.7%
2026+38.4%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are CASY and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at 0.19, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between CASY and SPY?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between CASY and SPY is 0.19 over 3 years, 0.04 over 1 year and 0.33 over 5 years.

Is SPY a good diversifier for CASY?

Yes: at 0.19, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of 0.19 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
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CASY vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.19CASY vs SPY0.19

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Hubs: CASY correlations · SPY correlations