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BTE vs TLT: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, Baytex Energy Corp (BTE) and iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) carry a correlation of -0.26, a negative link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.26
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.35
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.25
long-run
Ann. covariance
-159.9
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are BTE and TLT?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of BTE and TLT correlate at -0.26, negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of -0.35 lands near the 3-year figure. Stretching to 5 years gives -0.25, with an annualized covariance of -159.9 %².

TLT is close to the least connected end of BTE's tracked universe, ranking #10 of 12. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months BTE outperformed by 122.5 percentage points (+122.8% for BTE against +0.3% for TLT). Note the risk asymmetry: BTE runs 3.4 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

BTE vs TLT: side by side

BTE (Baytex Energy Corp)TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF)
1-year return+122.8%+0.3%
5-year return+194.4%-34.0%
Volatility (ann.)45.7%13.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.380.11
Max drawdown (3Y)-66.7%-14.8%
Market cap$3.4B
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield1.92%4.75%
Expense ratio0.15%
Assets under management$41.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · Bonds
Higher yield: TLT 4.75% vs 1.92%Smaller drawdown: TLT -14.8% vs -66.7%Higher 5y return: BTE +194.4% vs -34.0%

On the fund side, TLT sits in the Long Government category at iShares, with $41.5B under management, a 0.15% expense ratio, a 4.75% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+138%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. BTE · TLT

Year-by-year returns

YearBTETLT
2022+46.0%-31.2%
2023-25.7%+2.8%
2024-20.6%-8.1%
2025+27.3%+4.2%
2026+50.3%-2.1%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are BTE and TLT good diversifiers for each other?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.26 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

FAQ

What is the correlation between BTE and TLT?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.26 over 3 years, with -0.35 over the last year and -0.25 over 5 years.

Is TLT a good diversifier for BTE?

By historical standards, yes. A correlation of -0.26 means the two rarely move for the same reasons.

What does a correlation of -0.26 mean?

A reading of -0.26 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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BTE vs TLT: 3-year weekly correlation -0.26BTE vs TLT-0.26

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Hubs: BTE correlations · TLT correlations