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BG vs XLP: Correlation

How closely do Bunge Global (BG) and Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLP) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.30, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.30
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.37
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.22
long-run
Ann. covariance
101.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are BG and XLP?

Over the past 3 years, BG and XLP moved with a correlation of 0.30, which is moderate. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.37 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.22, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 101.3 %².

By 3-year correlation, XLP places #16 of the 37 assets tracked against BG. The last year tells two different stories: BG led by 26.9 percentage points, +35.2% for BG against +8.3% for XLP. The rolling one-year correlation moved between 0.05 and 0.48 over the past three years, a moderate range. One caveat on sizing: BG is 2.8 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
Rolling one-year correlation of weekly returns over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

BG vs XLP: side by side

BG (Bunge Global)XLP (Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund)
1-year return+35.2%+8.3%
5-year return+68.5%+34.7%
Volatility (ann.)30.7%11.1%
Beta vs S&P 5000.090.23
Max drawdown (3Y)-38.8%-9.7%
Market cap$21.4B
P/E (trailing)24.4
Dividend yield2.51%2.58%
Expense ratio0.08%
Assets under management$14.6B
Sector / categoryConsumer StaplesSector ETF
Higher yield: XLP 2.58% vs 2.51%Smaller drawdown: XLP -9.7% vs -38.8%Higher 5y return: BG +68.5% vs +34.7%

On the fund side, XLP sits in the Consumer Defensive category at State Street Investment Management, with $14.6B under management, 35 holdings, a 0.08% expense ratio, a 2.58% trailing dividend yield.

-6%0%+56%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. BG · XLP

Year-by-year returns

YearBGXLP
2022+9.3%-0.8%
2023+3.8%-0.8%
2024-20.7%+12.2%
2025+18.6%+1.5%
2026+27.5%+10.9%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

BG represents 0.96% of XLP's portfolio, so part of any move in XLP is BG itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are BG and XLP good diversifiers for each other?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.30 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

FAQ

What is the correlation between BG and XLP?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between BG and XLP is 0.30 over 3 years, 0.37 over 1 year and 0.22 over 5 years.

Is XLP a good diversifier for BG?

Yes, to a useful degree: a correlation of 0.30 leaves real independence between the two, which historically damped combined volatility.

What does a correlation of 0.30 mean?

A reading of 0.30 sits on a scale from −1 (opposite moves) through 0 (unrelated) to +1 (identical moves). Correlation captures direction, not magnitude or performance.

Use this data

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BG vs XLP: 3-year weekly correlation 0.30BG vs XLP0.30

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Related comparisons

Hubs: BG correlations · XLP correlations