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BCAL vs SPY: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, California BanCorp (BCAL) and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) carry a correlation of 0.45, a moderate link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.45
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.23
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.29
long-run
Ann. covariance
171.7
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are BCAL and SPY?

Across a 3-year window, the weekly returns of BCAL and SPY correlate at 0.45, moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.23) runs below the 3-year figure (0.45). Stretching to 5 years gives 0.29, with an annualized covariance of 171.7 %².

By 3-year correlation, SPY places #8 of the 13 assets tracked against BCAL. Over the last 12 months BCAL came out ahead by 7.4 percentage points (+28.0% against +20.6%). One caveat on sizing: BCAL is 1.8 times as volatile as the other leg, so an equal-dollar split is far from equal-risk.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

BCAL vs SPY: side by side

BCAL (California BanCorp)SPY (SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust)
1-year return+28.0%+20.6%
5-year return+52.2%+82.4%
Volatility (ann.)26.5%14.5%
Beta vs S&P 5000.821.00
Max drawdown (3Y)-32.3%-18.8%
Market cap$0.7B
P/E (trailing)11.6
Dividend yield1.40%1.01%
Expense ratio0.09%
Assets under management$795.3B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Large Cap
Higher yield: BCAL 1.40% vs 1.01%Smaller drawdown: SPY -18.8% vs -32.3%Higher 5y return: SPY +82.4% vs +52.2%

SPY is a Large Blend fund from State Street Investment Management: $795.3B under management, 504 holdings, a 0.09% expense ratio, a 1.01% trailing dividend yield.

-6%0%+29%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. BCAL · SPY

Year-by-year returns

YearBCALSPY
2022+12.3%-18.2%
2023+3.1%+26.2%
2024-4.7%+24.9%
2025+13.5%+17.7%
2026+15.5%+13.7%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are BCAL and SPY good diversifiers for each other?

A fair diversifier. At 0.45, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

FAQ

What is the correlation between BCAL and SPY?

The BCAL/SPY correlation stands at 0.45 on a 3-year window (1 year: 0.23, 5 years: 0.29), computed from weekly returns as of 2026-08-27.

Is SPY a good diversifier for BCAL?

A fair diversifier. At 0.45, enough of each asset's movement is its own that the pair has smoothed outcomes historically.

What does a correlation of 0.45 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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BCAL vs SPY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.45BCAL vs SPY0.45

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Hubs: BCAL correlations · SPY correlations