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AXP vs UAL: Correlation

How closely do American Express (AXP) and United Airlines Holdings (UAL) trade together? Their weekly returns over three years give a correlation of 0.54, which is moderate.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.54
moderate
Correlation (1Y)
0.42
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.58
long-run
Ann. covariance
672.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are AXP and UAL?

Over the past 3 years, AXP and UAL moved with a correlation of 0.54, which is moderate. The link has loosened recently: the 1-year correlation (0.42) runs below the 3-year figure (0.54). Over 5 years the correlation is 0.58, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 672.2 %².

Within AXP's tracked universe of 35 assets, UAL comes in at #19 by 3-year correlation. Their 12-month results are close: +4.7% for AXP against +7.8% for UAL. Across three years, the rolling one-year figure varied moderately, from 0.36 to 0.69. Note the risk asymmetry: UAL runs 1.8 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

+1.0+0.50-0.5-1.020232026-08-27
How the one-year correlation itself moved over the past three years.
How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

AXP vs UAL: side by side

AXP (American Express)UAL (United Airlines Holdings)
1-year return+4.7%+7.8%
5-year return+116.2%+144.8%
Volatility (ann.)26.6%46.6%
Beta vs S&P 5001.201.33
Max drawdown (3Y)-28.8%-49.2%
Market cap$225.7B$36.5B
P/E (trailing)20.410.8
Dividend yield1.05%0.00%
Sector / categoryFinancialsIndustrials
Lower P/E: UAL 10.8 vs 20.4Higher yield: AXP 1.05% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: AXP -28.8% vs -49.2%Higher 5y return: UAL +144.8% vs +116.2%
-19%0%+28%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. AXP · UAL

Year-by-year returns

YearAXPUAL
2022-8.5%-13.9%
2023+28.7%+9.4%
2024+60.3%+135.3%
2025+26.0%+15.2%
2026-8.9%+0.5%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are AXP and UAL good diversifiers for each other?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.54 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

FAQ

What is the correlation between AXP and UAL?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between AXP and UAL is 0.54 over 3 years, 0.42 over 1 year and 0.58 over 5 years.

Is UAL a good diversifier for AXP?

Somewhat, no more. With 0.54 correlation, most large moves hit both names, and the diversification benefit stays modest.

What does a correlation of 0.54 mean?

On the −1 to +1 scale, 0.54 describes how much the two returns move together: +1 is lockstep, 0 is independence, negative values mean opposite directions. It says nothing about which performed better.

Use this data

JSON API · no key required
$ curl https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/pairs/axp-vs-ual.json

AXP vs UAL: 3-year weekly correlation 0.54AXP vs UAL0.54

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[![AXP vs UAL correlation](https://www.pairbook.io/api/v1/badge/axp-vs-ual.svg)](https://www.pairbook.io/pair/axp-vs-ual/)

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Related comparisons

Hubs: AXP correlations · UAL correlations