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ATI vs MDY: Correlation

ATI Inc. (ATI) and SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF (MDY) show a strong relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is 0.63.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.63
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.61
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.61
long-run
Ann. covariance
451.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ATI and MDY?

Over the past 3 years, ATI and MDY moved with a correlation of 0.63, which is strong. Little has changed lately, as the 1-year reading of 0.61 lands near the 3-year figure. Over 5 years the correlation is 0.61, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is 451.3 %².

Within ATI's tracked universe of 12 assets, MDY comes in at #4 by 3-year correlation. The last year tells two different stories: ATI led by 161.2 percentage points, +179.5% for ATI against +18.3% for MDY. Note the risk asymmetry: ATI runs 2.6 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ATI vs MDY: side by side

ATI (ATI Inc.)MDY (SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF)
1-year return+179.5%+18.3%
5-year return+1095.8%+47.5%
Volatility (ann.)43.3%16.5%
Beta vs S&P 5001.590.91
Max drawdown (3Y)-38.0%-24.0%
Market cap$29.2B
P/E (trailing)62.5
Dividend yield0.00%1.02%
Expense ratio0.23%
Assets under management$26.5B
Sector / categoryUS ListedETF · US Small & Mid Cap
Higher yield: MDY 1.02% vs 0.00%Smaller drawdown: MDY -24.0% vs -38.0%Higher 5y return: ATI +1095.8% vs +47.5%

MDY, State Street Investment Management's Mid-Cap Blend fund, carries $26.5B under management, 400 holdings, a 0.23% expense ratio, a 1.02% trailing dividend yield.

-4%0%+194%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. ATI · MDY

Year-by-year returns

YearATIMDY
2022+87.4%-13.3%
2023+52.3%+16.1%
2024+21.0%+13.6%
2025+108.5%+7.2%
2026+86.9%+16.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Fund exposure

ATI represents 0.8% of MDY's portfolio, so part of any move in MDY is ATI itself, and the correlation between them is partly mechanical.

Are ATI and MDY good diversifiers for each other?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.63 means ATI and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ATI and MDY?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: 0.63 over 3 years, with 0.61 over the last year and 0.61 over 5 years.

Is MDY a good diversifier for ATI?

Only partially. A correlation of 0.63 means ATI and MDY share most of their swings. Pairing them dampens volatility somewhat, but it will not protect against a common drawdown.

What does a correlation of 0.63 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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ATI vs MDY: 3-year weekly correlation 0.63ATI vs MDY0.63

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Hubs: ATI correlations · MDY correlations