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ATER vs DFNS: Correlation

Aterian, Inc. (ATER) and T3 Defense Inc. (DFNS) show a negative relationship: their 3-year correlation of weekly returns is -0.43.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
-0.43
negative
Correlation (1Y)
-0.63
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
-0.28
long-run
Ann. covariance
-239838.3
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ATER and DFNS?

Over the past 3 years, ATER and DFNS moved with a correlation of -0.43, which is negative, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. Lately the two have drifted apart, with the 1-year correlation at -0.63 versus -0.43 over 3 years. Over 5 years the correlation is -0.28, and the annualized covariance of weekly returns is -239838.3 %².

DFNS is close to the least connected end of ATER's tracked universe, ranking #10 of 10. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months DFNS outperformed by 254.7 percentage points (-61.2% for ATER against +193.5% for DFNS). Note the risk asymmetry: DFNS runs 67.8 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ATER vs DFNS: side by side

ATER (Aterian, Inc.)DFNS (T3 Defense Inc.)
1-year return-61.2%+193.5%
5-year return-99.5%-77.9%
Volatility (ann.)90.5%6136.1%
Beta vs S&P 5001.58-23.33
Max drawdown (3Y)-94.0%-99.9%
Market cap
P/E (trailing)
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Sector / categoryUS ListedUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: ATER -94.0% vs -99.9%Higher 5y return: DFNS -77.9% vs -99.5%
-99%0%+694%2025-09-052026-08-27
Twelve months of weekly closes, each series rebased to 100. ATER · DFNS

Year-by-year returns

YearATERDFNS
2022-81.3%+5.0%
2023-54.7%-62.5%
2024-42.7%+59.9%
2025-71.0%-89.0%
2026-43.6%+215.4%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ATER and DFNS good diversifiers for each other?

Yes: at -0.43, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ATER and DFNS?

Using weekly returns as of 2026-08-27: -0.43 over 3 years, with -0.63 over the last year and -0.28 over 5 years.

Is DFNS a good diversifier for ATER?

Yes: at -0.43, the two have gone their own ways historically, which is what genuine diversification looks like.

What does a correlation of -0.43 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

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ATER vs DFNS: 3-year weekly correlation -0.43ATER vs DFNS-0.43

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ATER correlations · DFNS correlations