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ARKK vs UPST: Correlation

Measured on weekly returns over the past three years, ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) and Upstart Holdings, Inc. (UPST) carry a correlation of 0.64, a strong link.

Data as of 2026-08-27 · refreshed every trading day · weekly returns · methodology

Correlation (3Y)
0.64
strong
Correlation (1Y)
0.67
last 12 months
Correlation (5Y)
0.61
long-run
Ann. covariance
2261.2
%² · weekly, annualized

How correlated are ARKK and UPST?

On 3 years of weekly data the ARKK/UPST correlation comes out at 0.64, strong. The relationship has been stable: the 1-year correlation (0.67) sits close to the 3-year figure. The 5-year figure is 0.61, and annualized covariance runs at 2261.2 %².

By 3-year correlation, UPST places #23 of the 122 assets tracked against ARKK. Their recent paths diverged sharply: over the last 12 months ARKK outperformed by 71.9 percentage points (+15.7% for ARKK against -56.2% for UPST). Note the risk asymmetry: UPST runs 2.3 times the annualized volatility of the other leg, so equal-weighting the two is not an equal-risk position.

How is this computed?

Pearson correlation on weekly returns: ρ(A,B) = cov(rA, rB) / (σA · σB), over windows of 52, 156 and 260 weeks. Covariance is annualized (×52) and expressed in %². Full definitions on the methodology page.

ARKK vs UPST: side by side

ARKK (ARK Innovation ETF)UPST (Upstart Holdings, Inc.)
1-year return+15.7%-56.2%
5-year return-27.7%-85.9%
Volatility (ann.)38.8%91.0%
Beta vs S&P 5002.073.51
Max drawdown (3Y)-39.6%-72.7%
Market cap$3.0B
P/E (trailing)58.6
Dividend yield0.00%
Sector / categoryETF · ThematicUS Listed
Smaller drawdown: ARKK -39.6% vs -72.7%Higher 5y return: ARKK -27.7% vs -85.9%
-63%0%+18%2025-09-052026-08-27
Both assets over the last year, indexed to 100 at the starting week. ARKK · UPST

Year-by-year returns

YearARKKUPST
2022-67.0%-91.3%
2023+69.0%+209.1%
2024+8.4%+50.7%
2025+35.5%-29.0%
2026+13.6%-30.3%

Calendar-year price returns; the current year is year-to-date as of the data date above.

Are ARKK and UPST good diversifiers for each other?

To a limited degree. At 0.64 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

FAQ

What is the correlation between ARKK and UPST?

As of 2026-08-27, the correlation of weekly returns between ARKK and UPST is 0.64 over 3 years, 0.67 over 1 year and 0.61 over 5 years.

Is UPST a good diversifier for ARKK?

To a limited degree. At 0.64 the two still catch most of the same waves, so the pair smooths returns a little without insulating either from a shared selloff.

What does a correlation of 0.64 mean?

Correlation ranges from −1 to +1. Values near +1 mean two assets move together, near 0 that they move independently, and negative values that they tend to move in opposite directions. It measures co-movement, not performance.

Use this data

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ARKK vs UPST: 3-year weekly correlation 0.64ARKK vs UPST0.64

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Related comparisons

Hubs: ARKK correlations · UPST correlations